Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000932 1.070305e-03 0.001211 0.001363 0.001523 0.001685 0.001863
2025-07-20 0.000677 8.691519e-04 0.001072 0.001299 0.001545 0.001801 0.002086
2025-07-27 0.000544 7.776693e-04 0.001034 0.001331 0.001658 0.002006 0.002398
2025-08-03 0.000408 6.659041e-04 0.000962 0.001314 0.001712 0.002141 0.002633
2025-08-10 0.000266 5.262184e-04 0.000844 0.001235 0.001689 0.002187 0.002764
2025-08-17 0.000175 4.351650e-04 0.000772 0.001203 0.001712 0.002279 0.002943
2025-08-24 0.000089 3.284322e-04 0.000670 0.001124 0.001676 0.002299 0.003037
2025-08-31 0.000046 2.710620e-04 0.000623 0.001109 0.001709 0.002395 0.003215
2025-09-07 0.000023 2.364674e-04 0.000603 0.001124 0.001777 0.002529 0.003432
2025-09-14 0.000003 1.835918e-04 0.000550 0.001091 0.001783 0.002590 0.003565
2025-09-21 NaN 1.614548e-04 0.000539 0.001113 0.001855 0.002726 0.003783
2025-09-28 NaN 1.571468e-04 0.000557 0.001172 0.001972 0.002913 0.004058
2025-10-05 NaN 1.072903e-04 0.000501 0.001144 0.002001 0.003021 0.004272
2025-10-12 NaN 5.807348e-05 0.000430 0.001091 0.001996 0.003090 0.004443
2025-10-19 NaN 4.141049e-05 0.000420 0.001124 0.002103 0.003293 0.004771
2025-10-26 NaN 1.907537e-05 0.000381 0.001111 0.002148 0.003422 0.005014
2025-11-02 NaN 6.510205e-07 0.000309 0.001039 0.002113 0.003451 0.005136
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000267 0.001010 0.002131 0.003543 0.005333
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000206 0.000938 0.002086 0.003555 0.005432
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000180 0.000924 0.002121 0.003665 0.005646
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000169 0.000938 0.002193 0.003821 0.005917
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000138 0.000908 0.002201 0.003895 0.006085
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000132 0.000928 0.002281 0.004059 0.006363